Gang violence predictability: Using risk terrain modeling to study gang homicides and gang assaults in East Los Angeles

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Gang violence predictability: Using risk terrain modeling to study gang homicides and gang assaults in East Los Angeles

Category: Homicide, Injury|Journal: Journal of Criminal Justice (full text)|Author: M Valasik|Year: 2018

Purpose

The current study investigates the application of risk terrain modeling (RTM) to forecast gang violence. RTM is routinely utilized to predict future criminal events in micro-units (i.e., city blocks) based upon features of the physical environment. The particular focus of the current study is RTM’s ability to separately predict future gang assaults and gang homicides in the Los Angeles Police Department’s (LAPD) Hollenbeck Community Policing Area.

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